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WAL Tara Galilor - Premier League · Meci ·

Holywell Town vs Connah's Quay

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Gazde form
Projected score1–22.86 expected goals
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde13%
Egal18%
Victorie oaspeți69%
Market-based forecastVictorie oaspețiTier B · 69% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie oaspeți69% selection probability
Projected score1–2Holywell TownConnah's Quay
Expected goals2.86Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Peste56% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăDa55% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Sub 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
13% / 18% / 69%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie oaspeți69%1.45
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Holywell Town win (13.2%)Șansă dublăX286.8%1.15
Peste 56% · Sub 44%Goals 2.5Peste56%1.79
Da 55% · Nu 45%Ambele echipe marcheazăDa55%1.82
2.86 total expected goalsScor corect1–2
9.2 expected match cornersCornereSub 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin10.7%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNiciuna
OutcomePredicțieCotă corectăReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Holywell Town win13%7.698.0011.3%
Egal18%5.565.5016.4%
Connah's Quay win69%1.451.2572.3%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Holywell Town0.97

Gazde share of expected goals 33.9%

Total expected goals2.86Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Peste 56% · Sub 44%

Connah's Quay1.89

Oaspeți share of expected goals 66.1%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitDa 55% · Nu 45%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

Holywell Town

0.00pts / match
Jucate1Wins0Drawn0Losses1Puncte0

SignalOaspeți matches over 2.5: 3/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

Connah's Quay

1.00pts / match
Jucate5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Puncte5

SignalNu recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
13%
Câștig probability excluding draw
69%
0
Points from supplied form
5
0.97
Expected goals
1.89
Holywell TownConnah's Quay
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Holywell Town signalOaspeți matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Connah's Quay signalNu recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk31% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 18%.

Match questions

Holywell Town vs Connah's Quay FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie oaspeți · Projected score 1–2 · 69% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Holywell Town câștig 13%,Egal 18%,Connah's Quay câștig 69%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.86 · Peste 2.5 56% · Current selection Peste