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NIR Irlande du Nord - Premier · Round 1 ·

Linfield vs Ballymena Utd

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score2–12.50 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile57%
Nul26%
Victoire à l’extérieur17%
Full model forecastVictoire à domicileTier A · 57% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile57% selection probability
Projected score2–1LinfieldBallymena Utd
Expected goals2.50Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Moins de54% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentNon60% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
57% / 26% / 17%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile57%1.75
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Ballymena Utd win (17%)Double chance1X83%1.20
Plus de 46% · Moins de 54%Goals 2.5Moins de54%1.85
Oui 40% · Non 60%Les deux équipes marquentNon60%1.67
2.50 total expected goalsScore exact2–1
9.5 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Non snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCote juste
Linfield win57%1.75
Nul26%3.85
Ballymena Utd win17%5.88

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Linfield1.87

Domicile share of expected goals 74.8%

Total expected goals2.50Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 46% · Moins de 54%

Ballymena Utd0.63

Extérieur share of expected goals 25.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitOui 40% · Non 60%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Linfield

1.20pts / match
Joués5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Points6

SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 4/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Ballymena Utd

1.00pts / match
Joués5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5

SignalDomicile failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
57%
Gagné probability excluding draw
17%
6
Points from supplied form
5
1.87
Expected goals
0.63
LinfieldBallymena Utd
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Linfield signalDomicile matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Ballymena Utd signalDomicile failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk43% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Linfield vs Ballymena Utd FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 2–1 · 57% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Linfield victoire 57%,Nul 26%,Ballymena Utd victoire 17%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.50 · Plus de 2.5 46% · Current selection Moins de