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NIR Βόρειος Ιρλανδία - Πρέμιερ · Round 1 ·

Λίνφιλντ vs Μπαλιμένα Γιουν.

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Γηπεδούχος form
Projected score2–12.50 expected goals
Φιλοξενούμενος form
Νίκη γηπεδούχου57%
Ισοπαλία26%
Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου17%
Full model forecastΝίκη γηπεδούχουTier A · 57% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callΝίκη γηπεδούχου57% selection probability
Projected score2–1ΛίνφιλντΜπαλιμένα Γιουν.
Expected goals2.50Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Κάτω54% for the selected side
Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι60% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Κάτω 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketΕπιλογήΠιθανότηταΔίκαιη απόδοση
57% / 26% / 17%Αποτέλεσμα αγώναΝίκη γηπεδούχου57%1.75
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Μπαλιμένα Γιουν. win (17%)Διπλή Ευκαιρία1X83%1.20
Άνω 46% · Κάτω 54%Goals 2.5Κάτω54%1.85
Ναι 40% · Όχι 60%Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι60%1.67
2.50 total expected goalsΑκριβές σκορ2–1
9.5 expected match cornersΚόρνερΚάτω 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Όχι snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityΔίκαιη απόδοση
Λίνφιλντ win57%1.75
Ισοπαλία26%3.85
Μπαλιμένα Γιουν. win17%5.88

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Λίνφιλντ1.87

Γηπεδούχος share of expected goals 74.8%

Total expected goals2.50Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Άνω 46% · Κάτω 54%

Μπαλιμένα Γιουν.0.63

Φιλοξενούμενος share of expected goals 25.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitΝαι 40% · Όχι 60%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Γηπεδούχος-context · form sequence

Λίνφιλντ

1.20pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Πόντοι6

SignalΓηπεδούχος matches over 2.5: 4/5

Φιλοξενούμενος-context · form sequence

Μπαλιμένα Γιουν.

1.00pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Πόντοι5

SignalΓηπεδούχος failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
57%
Νίκη probability excluding draw
17%
6
Points from supplied form
5
1.87
Expected goals
0.63
ΛίνφιλντΜπαλιμένα Γιουν.
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Λίνφιλντ signalΓηπεδούχος matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Μπαλιμένα Γιουν. signalΓηπεδούχος failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk43% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ισοπαλία probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Λίνφιλντ vs Μπαλιμένα Γιουν. FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Νίκη γηπεδούχου · Projected score 2–1 · 57% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Λίνφιλντ νίκη 57%,Ισοπαλία 26%,Μπαλιμένα Γιουν. νίκη 17%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.50 · Άνω 2.5 46% · Current selection Κάτω