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NIR Северная Ирландия - Премьер-лига · Round 1 ·

Линфилд vs Балимена Юнайтед

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score2–12.50 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев57%
Ничья26%
Победа гостей17%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 57% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев57% selection probability
Projected score2–1ЛинфилдБалимена Юнайтед
Expected goals2.50Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Меньше54% for the selected side
Обе забьютНет60% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
57% / 26% / 17%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев57%1.75
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Балимена Юнайтед win (17%)Двойной шанс1X83%1.20
Больше 46% · Меньше 54%Goals 2.5Меньше54%1.85
Да 40% · Нет 60%Обе забьютНет60%1.67
2.50 total expected goalsТочный счёт2–1
9.5 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Нет snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityСправедливый коэффициент
Линфилд win57%1.75
Ничья26%3.85
Балимена Юнайтед win17%5.88

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Линфилд1.87

Хозяева share of expected goals 74.8%

Total expected goals2.50Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Больше 46% · Меньше 54%

Балимена Юнайтед0.63

Гости share of expected goals 25.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 40% · Нет 60%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Линфилд

1.20pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Баллы6

SignalХозяева matches over 2.5: 4/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Балимена Юнайтед

1.00pts / match
Сыграно5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Баллы5

SignalХозяева failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
57%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
17%
6
Points from supplied form
5
1.87
Expected goals
0.63
ЛинфилдБалимена Юнайтед
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Линфилд signalХозяева matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Балимена Юнайтед signalХозяева failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk43% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Линфилд vs Балимена Юнайтед FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 2–1 · 57% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Линфилд выигрыш 57%,Ничья 26%,Балимена Юнайтед выигрыш 17%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.50 · ТБ 2.5 46% · Current selection Меньше