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IRL Republic of Ireland Premier Division · Partido ·

Derry City vs Sligo Rovers

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score2–12.44 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local64%
Empate21%
Victoria visitante15%
Full model forecastVictoria localTier A · 64% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local64% selection probability
Projected score2–1Derry CitySligo Rovers
Expected goals2.44Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Menos de56% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcanNo56% for the selected side
Expected corners10.6Más de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
64% / 21% / 15%Resultado del partidoVictoria local64%1.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Sligo Rovers win (15.2%)Doble Oportunidad1X84.8%1.18
Más de 44% · Menos de 56%Goals 2.5Menos de56%1.79
Sí 44% · No 56%Ambos equipos marcanNo56%1.79
2.44 total expected goalsMarcador exacto2–1
10.6 expected match cornersCórnersMás de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.2%Largest probability gapDerry City winDifference+0.1 pp
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Derry City win64%1.561.4263.9%+0.1 pp
Empate21%4.764.3321%0.0 pp
Sligo Rovers win15%6.676.0015.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Derry City1.68

Local share of expected goals 68.9%

Total expected goals2.44Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Más de 44% · Menos de 56%

Sligo Rovers0.76

Visitante share of expected goals 31.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 44% · No 56%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Derry City

1.00pts / match
Jugados5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Puntos5

SignalVisitante matches over 2.5: 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Sligo Rovers

0.40pts / match
Jugados5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Puntos2

SignalNo recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
64%
Ganado probability excluding draw
15%
5
Points from supplied form
2
1.68
Expected goals
0.76
Derry CitySligo Rovers
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Derry City signalVisitante matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Sligo Rovers signalNo recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk36% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

Derry City vs Sligo Rovers FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 2–1 · 64% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Derry City ganada 64%,Empate 21%,Sligo Rovers ganada 15%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.44 · Más de 2.5 44% · Current selection Menos de