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IRL Republic of Ireland Premier Division · Meci ·

Derry City vs Sligo Rovers

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gazde form
Projected score2–12.44 expected goals
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde64%
Egal21%
Victorie oaspeți15%
Full model forecastVictorie gazdeTier A · 64% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie gazde64% selection probability
Projected score2–1Derry CitySligo Rovers
Expected goals2.44Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Sub56% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăNu56% for the selected side
Expected corners10.6Peste 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
64% / 21% / 15%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie gazde64%1.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Sligo Rovers win (15.2%)Șansă dublă1X84.8%1.18
Peste 44% · Sub 56%Goals 2.5Sub56%1.79
Da 44% · Nu 56%Ambele echipe marcheazăNu56%1.79
2.44 total expected goalsScor corect2–1
10.6 expected match cornersCornerePeste 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.2%Largest probability gapDerry City winDifference+0.1 pp
OutcomePredicțieCotă corectăReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Derry City win64%1.561.4263.9%+0.1 pp
Egal21%4.764.3321%0.0 pp
Sligo Rovers win15%6.676.0015.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Derry City1.68

Gazde share of expected goals 68.9%

Total expected goals2.44Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Peste 44% · Sub 56%

Sligo Rovers0.76

Oaspeți share of expected goals 31.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitDa 44% · Nu 56%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

Derry City

1.00pts / match
Jucate5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Puncte5

SignalOaspeți matches over 2.5: 4/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

Sligo Rovers

0.40pts / match
Jucate5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Puncte2

SignalNu recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
64%
Câștig probability excluding draw
15%
5
Points from supplied form
2
1.68
Expected goals
0.76
Derry CitySligo Rovers
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Derry City signalOaspeți matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Sligo Rovers signalNu recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk36% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

Derry City vs Sligo Rovers FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie gazde · Projected score 2–1 · 64% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Derry City câștig 64%,Egal 21%,Sligo Rovers câștig 15%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.44 · Peste 2.5 44% · Current selection Sub