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IRL Republic of Ireland Premier Division · Spiel ·

Derry City vs Sligo Rovers

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score2–12.44 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg51%
Unentschieden28%
Auswärtssieg21%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 51% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg51% selection probability
Projected score2–1Derry CitySligo Rovers
Expected goals2.44Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Unter56% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenNein56% for the selected side
Expected corners10.6Über 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
51% / 28% / 21%SpielergebnisHeimsieg51%1.96
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Sligo Rovers win (21.2%)Doppelte Chance1X78.8%1.27
Über 44% · Unter 56%Goals 2.5Unter56%1.79
Ja 44% · Nein 56%Beide Teams treffenNein56%1.79
2.44 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis2–1
10.6 expected match cornersEckenÜber 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nein snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFaire Quote
Derry City win51%1.96
Unentschieden28%3.57
Sligo Rovers win21%4.76

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Derry City1.68

Heim share of expected goals 68.9%

Total expected goals2.44Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Über 44% · Unter 56%

Sligo Rovers0.76

Auswärts share of expected goals 31.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 44% · Nein 56%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Derry City

1.00pts / match
Gespielt5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Punkte5

SignalAuswärts matches over 2.5: 4/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Sligo Rovers

0.40pts / match
Gespielt5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Punkte2

SignalNein recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
51%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
21%
5
Points from supplied form
2
1.68
Expected goals
0.76
Derry CitySligo Rovers
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Derry City signalAuswärts matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Sligo Rovers signalNein recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk49% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Derry City vs Sligo Rovers FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 2–1 · 51% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Derry City Gewinn 51%,Unentschieden 28%,Sligo Rovers Gewinn 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.44 · Über 2.5 44% · Current selection Unter