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IRL Republic of Ireland Premier Division · Mecz ·

Derry City vs Sligo Rovers

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gospodarze form
Projected score2–12.44 expected goals
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy51%
Remis28%
Wygrana gości21%
Full model forecastWygrana gospodarzyTier A · 51% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gospodarzy51% selection probability
Projected score2–1Derry CitySligo Rovers
Expected goals2.44Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Poniżej56% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląNie56% for the selected side
Expected corners10.6Powyżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
51% / 28% / 21%Wynik meczuWygrana gospodarzy51%1.96
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Sligo Rovers win (21.2%)Podwójna szansa1X78.8%1.27
Powyżej 44% · Poniżej 56%Goals 2.5Poniżej56%1.79
Tak 44% · Nie 56%Obie drużyny strzeląNie56%1.79
2.44 total expected goalsDokładny wynik2–1
10.6 expected match cornersRożnePowyżej 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nie snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityUczciwy kurs
Derry City win51%1.96
Remis28%3.57
Sligo Rovers win21%4.76

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Derry City1.68

Gospodarze share of expected goals 68.9%

Total expected goals2.44Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 44% · Poniżej 56%

Sligo Rovers0.76

Goście share of expected goals 31.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitTak 44% · Nie 56%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

Derry City

1.00pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Punkty5

SignalGoście matches over 2.5: 4/5

Goście-context · form sequence

Sligo Rovers

0.40pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Punkty2

SignalNie recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
51%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
21%
5
Points from supplied form
2
1.68
Expected goals
0.76
Derry CitySligo Rovers
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Derry City signalGoście matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Sligo Rovers signalNie recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk49% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Derry City vs Sligo Rovers FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gospodarzy · Projected score 2–1 · 51% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Derry City wygrana 51%,Remis 28%,Sligo Rovers wygrana 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.44 · Powyżej 2.5 44% · Current selection Poniżej