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SVN Σλοβενία - Prva Liga · Αγώνας ·

Νάφτα 1903 vs Μάριμπορ

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Γηπεδούχος form
Projected score1–12.76 expected goals
Φιλοξενούμενος form
Νίκη γηπεδούχου35%
Ισοπαλία29%
Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου36%
Full model forecastΝίκη φιλοξενούμενουTier A · 36% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callΝίκη φιλοξενούμενου36% selection probability
Projected score1–1Νάφτα 1903Μάριμπορ
Expected goals2.76Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Άνω52% for the selected side
Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΝαι56% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Κάτω 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketΕπιλογήΠιθανότηταΔίκαιη απόδοση
35% / 29% / 36%Αποτέλεσμα αγώναΝίκη φιλοξενούμενου36%2.78
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.5%)Διπλή Ευκαιρία1271.5%1.40
Άνω 52% · Κάτω 48%Goals 2.5Άνω52%1.92
Ναι 56% · Όχι 44%Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΝαι56%1.79
2.76 total expected goalsΑκριβές σκορ1–1
9.2 expected match cornersΚόρνερΚάτω 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Όχι snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityΔίκαιη απόδοση
Νάφτα 1903 win35%2.86
Ισοπαλία29%3.45
Μάριμπορ win36%2.78

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Νάφτα 19031.36

Γηπεδούχος share of expected goals 49.3%

Total expected goals2.76Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Άνω 52% · Κάτω 48%

Μάριμπορ1.40

Φιλοξενούμενος share of expected goals 50.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitΝαι 56% · Όχι 44%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Γηπεδούχος-context · form sequence

Νάφτα 1903

1.40pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Πόντοι7

SignalΓηπεδούχος matches over 2.5: 3/5

Φιλοξενούμενος-context · form sequence

Μάριμπορ

2.20pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Πόντοι11

SignalΦιλοξενούμενος unbeaten 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
35%
Νίκη probability excluding draw
36%
7
Points from supplied form
11
1.36
Expected goals
1.40
Νάφτα 1903Μάριμπορ
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Νάφτα 1903 signalΓηπεδούχος matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Μάριμπορ signalΦιλοξενούμενος unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk64% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ισοπαλία probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Νάφτα 1903 vs Μάριμπορ FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου · Projected score 1–1 · 36% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Νάφτα 1903 νίκη 35%,Ισοπαλία 29%,Μάριμπορ νίκη 36%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.76 · Άνω 2.5 52% · Current selection Άνω