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SVN Словения - Първа Лига · Мач ·

Нафта 1903 vs Марибор

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score1–12.76 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина35%
Равен29%
Победа за госта36%
Full model forecastПобеда за гостаTier A · 36% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за госта36% selection probability
Projected score1–1Нафта 1903Марибор
Expected goals2.76Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Над52% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатДа56% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Под 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
35% / 29% / 36%Резултат от мачаПобеда за госта36%2.78
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.5%)Двоен шанс1271.5%1.40
Над 52% · Под 48%Goals 2.5Над52%1.92
Да 56% · Не 44%И двата отбора да отбележатДа56%1.79
2.76 total expected goalsТочен резултат1–1
9.2 expected match cornersКорнериПод 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Не snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityСправедлив коефициент
Нафта 1903 win35%2.86
Равен29%3.45
Марибор win36%2.78

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Нафта 19031.36

Домакин share of expected goals 49.3%

Total expected goals2.76Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Над 52% · Под 48%

Марибор1.40

Гост share of expected goals 50.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 56% · Не 44%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Нафта 1903

1.40pts / match
Изиграни5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Точки7

SignalДомакин matches over 2.5: 3/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Марибор

2.20pts / match
Изиграни5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Точки11

SignalГост unbeaten 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
35%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
36%
7
Points from supplied form
11
1.36
Expected goals
1.40
Нафта 1903Марибор
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Нафта 1903 signalДомакин matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Марибор signalГост unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk64% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Нафта 1903 vs Марибор FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за госта · Projected score 1–1 · 36% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Нафта 1903 печеливш 35%,Равен 29%,Марибор печеливш 36%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.76 · Над 2.5 52% · Current selection Над