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SVN Словения - 1-я лига · Матч ·

НК Нафта 1903 vs Марибор

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score1–12.76 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев35%
Ничья29%
Победа гостей36%
Full model forecastПобеда гостейTier A · 36% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда гостей36% selection probability
Projected score1–1НК Нафта 1903Марибор
Expected goals2.76Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Больше52% for the selected side
Обе забьютДа56% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
35% / 29% / 36%Исход матчаПобеда гостей36%2.78
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.5%)Двойной шанс1271.5%1.40
Больше 52% · Меньше 48%Goals 2.5Больше52%1.92
Да 56% · Нет 44%Обе забьютДа56%1.79
2.76 total expected goalsТочный счёт1–1
9.2 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Нет snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityСправедливый коэффициент
НК Нафта 1903 win35%2.86
Ничья29%3.45
Марибор win36%2.78

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

НК Нафта 19031.36

Хозяева share of expected goals 49.3%

Total expected goals2.76Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Больше 52% · Меньше 48%

Марибор1.40

Гости share of expected goals 50.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 56% · Нет 44%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

НК Нафта 1903

1.40pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Баллы7

SignalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Марибор

2.20pts / match
Сыграно5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Баллы11

SignalГости unbeaten 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
35%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
36%
7
Points from supplied form
11
1.36
Expected goals
1.40
НК Нафта 1903Марибор
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01НК Нафта 1903 signalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Марибор signalГости unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk64% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

НК Нафта 1903 vs Марибор FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа гостей · Projected score 1–1 · 36% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

НК Нафта 1903 выигрыш 35%,Ничья 29%,Марибор выигрыш 36%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.76 · ТБ 2.5 52% · Current selection Больше