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BGR Βουλγαρία - Πρώτη Λίγκα · Αγώνας ·

Λοκομοτίβ Πλόβντιβ vs Αρντά Καρντζαλί

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Γηπεδούχος form
Projected score1–11.78 expected goals
Φιλοξενούμενος form
Νίκη γηπεδούχου23%
Ισοπαλία30%
Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου47%
Full model forecastΝίκη φιλοξενούμενουTier A · 47% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callΝίκη φιλοξενούμενου47% selection probability
Projected score1–1Λοκομοτίβ ΠλόβντιβΑρντά Καρντζαλί
Expected goals1.78Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Κάτω73% for the selected side
Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι65% for the selected side
Expected corners8.5Κάτω 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketΕπιλογήΠιθανότηταΔίκαιη απόδοση
23% / 30% / 47%Αποτέλεσμα αγώναΝίκη φιλοξενούμενου47%2.13
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Λοκομοτίβ Πλόβντιβ win (22.8%)Διπλή ΕυκαιρίαX277.2%1.30
Άνω 27% · Κάτω 73%Goals 2.5Κάτω73%1.37
Ναι 35% · Όχι 65%Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι65%1.54
1.78 total expected goalsΑκριβές σκορ1–1
8.5 expected match cornersΚόρνερΚάτω 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.3%Largest probability gapΑρντά Καρντζαλί winDifference-1.2 pp
OutcomeΠρόβλεψηΔίκαιη απόδοσηReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Λοκομοτίβ Πλόβντιβ win23%4.354.2022.4%+0.6 pp
Ισοπαλία30%3.333.2029.4%+0.6 pp
Αρντά Καρντζαλί win47%2.131.9548.2%-1.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Λοκομοτίβ Πλόβντιβ0.80

Γηπεδούχος share of expected goals 44.9%

Total expected goals1.78Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Άνω 27% · Κάτω 73%

Αρντά Καρντζαλί0.98

Φιλοξενούμενος share of expected goals 55.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitΝαι 35% · Όχι 65%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Γηπεδούχος-context · form sequence

Λοκομοτίβ Πλόβντιβ

0.60pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Πόντοι3

SignalΓηπεδούχος failed to score: 3/5

Φιλοξενούμενος-context · form sequence

Αρντά Καρντζαλί

2.00pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Πόντοι10

SignalΦιλοξενούμενος unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
23%
Νίκη probability excluding draw
47%
3
Points from supplied form
10
0.80
Expected goals
0.98
Λοκομοτίβ ΠλόβντιβΑρντά Καρντζαλί
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Λοκομοτίβ Πλόβντιβ signalΓηπεδούχος failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Αρντά Καρντζαλί signalΦιλοξενούμενος unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk53% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ισοπαλία probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Λοκομοτίβ Πλόβντιβ vs Αρντά Καρντζαλί FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου · Projected score 1–1 · 47% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Λοκομοτίβ Πλόβντιβ νίκη 23%,Ισοπαλία 30%,Αρντά Καρντζαλί νίκη 47%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.78 · Άνω 2.5 27% · Current selection Κάτω