MatchFormula Trouver un match
Menu
UTC+8
Fuseau horaireAsia/Shanghai
Français
BGR Bulgarie - Parva liga · Match ·

Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Arda Kardzhali

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score1–11.78 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile23%
Nul30%
Victoire à l’extérieur47%
Full model forecastVictoire à l’extérieurTier A · 47% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à l’extérieur47% selection probability
Projected score1–1Lokomotiv PlovdivArda Kardzhali
Expected goals1.78Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Moins de73% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentNon65% for the selected side
Expected corners8.5Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
23% / 30% / 47%Résultat du matchVictoire à l’extérieur47%2.13
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Lokomotiv Plovdiv win (22.8%)Double chanceX277.2%1.30
Plus de 27% · Moins de 73%Goals 2.5Moins de73%1.37
Oui 35% · Non 65%Les deux équipes marquentNon65%1.54
1.78 total expected goalsScore exact1–1
8.5 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.3%Largest probability gapArda Kardzhali winDifference-1.2 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Lokomotiv Plovdiv win23%4.354.2022.4%+0.6 pp
Nul30%3.333.2029.4%+0.6 pp
Arda Kardzhali win47%2.131.9548.2%-1.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Lokomotiv Plovdiv0.80

Domicile share of expected goals 44.9%

Total expected goals1.78Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 27% · Moins de 73%

Arda Kardzhali0.98

Extérieur share of expected goals 55.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitOui 35% · Non 65%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Lokomotiv Plovdiv

0.60pts / match
Joués5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Points3

SignalDomicile failed to score: 3/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Arda Kardzhali

2.00pts / match
Joués5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10

SignalExtérieur unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
23%
Gagné probability excluding draw
47%
3
Points from supplied form
10
0.80
Expected goals
0.98
Lokomotiv PlovdivArda Kardzhali
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Lokomotiv Plovdiv signalDomicile failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Arda Kardzhali signalExtérieur unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk53% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Arda Kardzhali FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à l’extérieur · Projected score 1–1 · 47% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Lokomotiv Plovdiv victoire 23%,Nul 30%,Arda Kardzhali victoire 47%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.78 · Plus de 2.5 27% · Current selection Moins de