MatchFormula Maç bul
Menu
UTC+8
Saat dilimiAsia/Shanghai
Türkçe
BGR Bulgaria First League · Maç ·

Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Arda Kardzhali

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Ev Sahibi form
Projected score1–11.78 expected goals
Deplasman form
Ev sahibi kazanır23%
Beraberlik30%
Deplasman kazanır47%
Full model forecastDeplasman kazanırTier A · 47% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callDeplasman kazanır47% selection probability
Projected score1–1Lokomotiv PlovdivArda Kardzhali
Expected goals1.78Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Alt73% for the selected side
Karşılıklı gol varHayır65% for the selected side
Expected corners8.5Alt 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeçimOlasılıkAdil oran
23% / 30% / 47%Maç sonucuDeplasman kazanır47%2.13
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Lokomotiv Plovdiv win (22.8%)Çifte ŞansX277.2%1.30
Üst 27% · Alt 73%Goals 2.5Alt73%1.37
Evet 35% · Hayır 65%Karşılıklı gol varHayır65%1.54
1.78 total expected goalsDoğru skor1–1
8.5 expected match cornersKornerlerAlt 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.3%Largest probability gapArda Kardzhali winDifference-1.2 pp
OutcomeTahminAdil oranReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Lokomotiv Plovdiv win23%4.354.2022.4%+0.6 pp
Beraberlik30%3.333.2029.4%+0.6 pp
Arda Kardzhali win47%2.131.9548.2%-1.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Lokomotiv Plovdiv0.80

Ev Sahibi share of expected goals 44.9%

Total expected goals1.78Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Üst 27% · Alt 73%

Arda Kardzhali0.98

Deplasman share of expected goals 55.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitEvet 35% · Hayır 65%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Ev Sahibi-context · form sequence

Lokomotiv Plovdiv

0.60pts / match
Oynanan5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Puan3

SignalEv Sahibi failed to score: 3/5

Deplasman-context · form sequence

Arda Kardzhali

2.00pts / match
Oynanan5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Puan10

SignalDeplasman unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
23%
Kazanç probability excluding draw
47%
3
Points from supplied form
10
0.80
Expected goals
0.98
Lokomotiv PlovdivArda Kardzhali
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Lokomotiv Plovdiv signalEv Sahibi failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Arda Kardzhali signalDeplasman unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk53% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Beraberlik probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Arda Kardzhali FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Deplasman kazanır · Projected score 1–1 · 47% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Lokomotiv Plovdiv kazanç 23%,Beraberlik 30%,Arda Kardzhali kazanç 47%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.78 · 2.5 Üst 27% · Current selection Alt