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BGR 保加利亞甲級聯賽 · 比賽 ·

普夫迪火車頭 vs 阿爾達克爾賈利

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

主隊 form
Projected score1–11.78 expected goals
客隊 form
主勝23%
30%
客勝47%
Full model forecast客勝Tier A · 47% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary call客勝47% selection probability
Projected score1–1普夫迪火車頭阿爾達克爾賈利
Expected goals1.78Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.573% for the selected side
雙方進球65% for the selected side
Expected corners8.5小 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market投注機率公平賠率
23% / 30% / 47%比賽結果客勝47%2.13
Derived from 1X2 · excludes 普夫迪火車頭 win (22.8%)雙重機會X277.2%1.30
大 27% · 小 73%Goals 2.573%1.37
是 35% · 否 65%雙方進球65%1.54
1.78 total expected goals正確比分1–1
8.5 expected match corners角球小 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.3%Largest probability gap阿爾達克爾賈利 winDifference-1.2 pp
Outcome預測公平賠率Reference oddsNormalized marketDifference
普夫迪火車頭 win23%4.354.2022.4%+0.6 pp
30%3.333.2029.4%+0.6 pp
阿爾達克爾賈利 win47%2.131.9548.2%-1.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

普夫迪火車頭0.80

主隊 share of expected goals 44.9%

Total expected goals1.78Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: 27% · 73%

阿爾達克爾賈利0.98

客隊 share of expected goals 55.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 35% · 65%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

主隊-context · form sequence

普夫迪火車頭

0.60pts / match
5Wins1Drawn0Losses4積分3

Signal主隊 failed to score: 3/5

客隊-context · form sequence

阿爾達克爾賈利

2.00pts / match
5Wins3Drawn1Losses1積分10

Signal客隊 unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
23%
贏 probability excluding draw
47%
3
Points from supplied form
10
0.80
Expected goals
0.98
普夫迪火車頭阿爾達克爾賈利
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01普夫迪火車頭 signal主隊 failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02阿爾達克爾賈利 signal客隊 unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk53% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 平 probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

普夫迪火車頭 vs 阿爾達克爾賈利 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: 客勝 · Projected score 1–1 · 47% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

普夫迪火車頭 23%, 30%,阿爾達克爾賈利 47%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.78 · 大2.5 27% · Current selection