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BGR Βουλγαρία - Πρώτη Λίγκα · Αγώνας ·

Μπότεφ Βράτσα vs Μπότεφ Πλόβντιβ

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Γηπεδούχος form
Projected score1–12.27 expected goals
Φιλοξενούμενος form
Νίκη γηπεδούχου33%
Ισοπαλία31%
Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου37%
Full model forecastΝίκη φιλοξενούμενουTier A · 37% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callΝίκη φιλοξενούμενου37% selection probability
Projected score1–1Μπότεφ ΒράτσαΜπότεφ Πλόβντιβ
Expected goals2.27Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Κάτω61% for the selected side
Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Κάτω 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketΕπιλογήΠιθανότηταΔίκαιη απόδοση
33% / 31% / 37%Αποτέλεσμα αγώναΝίκη φιλοξενούμενου37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (30.8%)Διπλή Ευκαιρία1269.2%1.45
Άνω 39% · Κάτω 61%Goals 2.5Κάτω61%1.64
Ναι 46% · Όχι 54%Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι54%1.85
2.27 total expected goalsΑκριβές σκορ1–1
9.3 expected match cornersΚόρνερΚάτω 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Όχι snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityΔίκαιη απόδοση
Μπότεφ Βράτσα win33%3.03
Ισοπαλία31%3.23
Μπότεφ Πλόβντιβ win37%2.70

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Μπότεφ Βράτσα1.07

Γηπεδούχος share of expected goals 47.1%

Total expected goals2.27Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Άνω 39% · Κάτω 61%

Μπότεφ Πλόβντιβ1.20

Φιλοξενούμενος share of expected goals 52.9%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitΝαι 46% · Όχι 54%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Γηπεδούχος-context · form sequence

Μπότεφ Βράτσα

0.20pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Πόντοι1

SignalΓηπεδούχος matches over 2.5: 4/5

Φιλοξενούμενος-context · form sequence

Μπότεφ Πλόβντιβ

1.40pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Πόντοι7

SignalΓηπεδούχος failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
33%
Νίκη probability excluding draw
37%
1
Points from supplied form
7
1.07
Expected goals
1.20
Μπότεφ ΒράτσαΜπότεφ Πλόβντιβ
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Μπότεφ Βράτσα signalΓηπεδούχος matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Μπότεφ Πλόβντιβ signalΓηπεδούχος failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ισοπαλία probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

Μπότεφ Βράτσα vs Μπότεφ Πλόβντιβ FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Μπότεφ Βράτσα νίκη 33%,Ισοπαλία 31%,Μπότεφ Πλόβντιβ νίκη 37%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.27 · Άνω 2.5 39% · Current selection Κάτω