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BGR България - Първа Лига · Мач ·

Ботев Враца vs Ботев Пловдив

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score1–12.27 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина33%
Равен31%
Победа за госта37%
Full model forecastПобеда за гостаTier A · 37% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за госта37% selection probability
Projected score1–1Ботев ВрацаБотев Пловдив
Expected goals2.27Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Под61% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатНе54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Под 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
33% / 31% / 37%Резултат от мачаПобеда за госта37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (30.8%)Двоен шанс1269.2%1.45
Над 39% · Под 61%Goals 2.5Под61%1.64
Да 46% · Не 54%И двата отбора да отбележатНе54%1.85
2.27 total expected goalsТочен резултат1–1
9.3 expected match cornersКорнериПод 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Не snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityСправедлив коефициент
Ботев Враца win33%3.03
Равен31%3.23
Ботев Пловдив win37%2.70

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Ботев Враца1.07

Домакин share of expected goals 47.1%

Total expected goals2.27Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Над 39% · Под 61%

Ботев Пловдив1.20

Гост share of expected goals 52.9%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 46% · Не 54%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Ботев Враца

0.20pts / match
Изиграни5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Точки1

SignalДомакин matches over 2.5: 4/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Ботев Пловдив

1.40pts / match
Изиграни5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Точки7

SignalДомакин failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
33%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
37%
1
Points from supplied form
7
1.07
Expected goals
1.20
Ботев ВрацаБотев Пловдив
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Ботев Враца signalДомакин matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Ботев Пловдив signalДомакин failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

Ботев Враца vs Ботев Пловдив FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за госта · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Ботев Враца печеливш 33%,Равен 31%,Ботев Пловдив печеливш 37%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.27 · Над 2.5 39% · Current selection Под