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EGY Ägypten - 1. Division · Round 1 ·

Al Moqawloon Al Arab vs El Masry

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score1–12.12 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg26%
Unentschieden32%
Auswärtssieg42%
Full model forecastAuswärtssiegTier A · 42% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAuswärtssieg42% selection probability
Projected score1–1Al Moqawloon Al ArabEl Masry
Expected goals2.12Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Unter64% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenNein59% for the selected side
Expected corners8.6Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
26% / 32% / 42%SpielergebnisAuswärtssieg42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Al Moqawloon Al Arab win (25.8%)Doppelte ChanceX274.2%1.35
Über 36% · Unter 64%Goals 2.5Unter64%1.56
Ja 41% · Nein 59%Beide Teams treffenNein59%1.69
2.12 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis1–1
8.6 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.3%Largest probability gapEl Masry winDifference+0.6 pp
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Al Moqawloon Al Arab win26%3.853.4026.2%-0.2 pp
Unentschieden32%3.132.7532.4%-0.4 pp
El Masry win42%2.382.1541.4%+0.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Al Moqawloon Al Arab0.79

Heim share of expected goals 37.3%

Total expected goals2.12Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Über 36% · Unter 64%

El Masry1.33

Auswärts share of expected goals 62.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 41% · Nein 59%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Al Moqawloon Al Arab

1.20pts / match
Gespielt5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Punkte6

SignalHeim unbeaten 4/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

El Masry

2.00pts / match
Gespielt5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punkte10

SignalHeim failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
26%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
42%
6
Points from supplied form
10
0.79
Expected goals
1.33
Al Moqawloon Al ArabEl Masry
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Al Moqawloon Al Arab signalHeim unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02El Masry signalHeim failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 32%.

Match questions

Al Moqawloon Al Arab vs El Masry FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Auswärtssieg · Projected score 1–1 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Al Moqawloon Al Arab Gewinn 26%,Unentschieden 32%,El Masry Gewinn 42%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.12 · Über 2.5 36% · Current selection Unter