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EGY Egypt Division 1 · Round 1 ·

Al Moqawloon Al Arab vs El Masry

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Chủ nhà form
Projected score1–12.12 expected goals
Khách form
Chủ nhà thắng26%
Hòa32%
Đội khách thắng42%
Full model forecastĐội khách thắngTier A · 42% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callĐội khách thắng42% selection probability
Projected score1–1Al Moqawloon Al ArabEl Masry
Expected goals2.12Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Xỉu64% for the selected side
Cả hai đội ghi bànKhông59% for the selected side
Expected corners8.6Xỉu 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketLựa chọnXác suấtTỷ lệ công bằng
26% / 32% / 42%Kết quả trận đấuĐội khách thắng42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Al Moqawloon Al Arab win (25.8%)Cơ hội képX274.2%1.35
Tài 36% · Xỉu 64%Goals 2.5Xỉu64%1.56
Có 41% · Không 59%Cả hai đội ghi bànKhông59%1.69
2.12 total expected goalsTỷ số chính xác1–1
8.6 expected match cornersPhạt gócXỉu 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.3%Largest probability gapEl Masry winDifference+0.6 pp
OutcomeDự đoánTỷ lệ công bằngReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Al Moqawloon Al Arab win26%3.853.4026.2%-0.2 pp
Hòa32%3.132.7532.4%-0.4 pp
El Masry win42%2.382.1541.4%+0.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Al Moqawloon Al Arab0.79

Chủ nhà share of expected goals 37.3%

Total expected goals2.12Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Tài 36% · Xỉu 64%

El Masry1.33

Khách share of expected goals 62.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 41% · Không 59%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Chủ nhà-context · form sequence

Al Moqawloon Al Arab

1.20pts / match
Số trận5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Điểm6

SignalChủ nhà unbeaten 4/5

Khách-context · form sequence

El Masry

2.00pts / match
Số trận5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Điểm10

SignalChủ nhà failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
26%
Thắng probability excluding draw
42%
6
Points from supplied form
10
0.79
Expected goals
1.33
Al Moqawloon Al ArabEl Masry
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Al Moqawloon Al Arab signalChủ nhà unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02El Masry signalChủ nhà failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Hòa probability alone is 32%.

Match questions

Al Moqawloon Al Arab vs El Masry FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Đội khách thắng · Projected score 1–1 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Al Moqawloon Al Arab thắng 26%,Hòa 32%,El Masry thắng 42%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.12 · Tài 2.5 36% · Current selection Xỉu