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EGY Egypt - 1. divize · Round 1 ·

Al Moqawloon Al Arab vs El Masry

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domácí form
Projected score1–12.12 expected goals
Hosté form
Výhra domácích26%
Remíza32%
Výhra hostů42%
Full model forecastVýhra hostůTier A · 42% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVýhra hostů42% selection probability
Projected score1–1Al Moqawloon Al ArabEl Masry
Expected goals2.12Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Méně64% for the selected side
Oba týmy skórujíNe59% for the selected side
Expected corners8.6Méně 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVýběrPravděpodobnostFérový kurz
26% / 32% / 42%Výsledek zápasuVýhra hostů42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Al Moqawloon Al Arab win (25.8%)Dvojitá šanceX274.2%1.35
Více 36% · Méně 64%Goals 2.5Méně64%1.56
Ano 41% · Ne 59%Oba týmy skórujíNe59%1.69
2.12 total expected goalsPřesné skóre1–1
8.6 expected match cornersRohyMéně 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.3%Largest probability gapEl Masry winDifference+0.6 pp
OutcomePředpověďFérový kurzReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Al Moqawloon Al Arab win26%3.853.4026.2%-0.2 pp
Remíza32%3.132.7532.4%-0.4 pp
El Masry win42%2.382.1541.4%+0.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Al Moqawloon Al Arab0.79

Domácí share of expected goals 37.3%

Total expected goals2.12Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Více 36% · Méně 64%

El Masry1.33

Hosté share of expected goals 62.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitAno 41% · Ne 59%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domácí-context · form sequence

Al Moqawloon Al Arab

1.20pts / match
Odehráno5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Body6

SignalDomácí unbeaten 4/5

Hosté-context · form sequence

El Masry

2.00pts / match
Odehráno5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Body10

SignalDomácí failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
26%
Výhra probability excluding draw
42%
6
Points from supplied form
10
0.79
Expected goals
1.33
Al Moqawloon Al ArabEl Masry
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Al Moqawloon Al Arab signalDomácí unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02El Masry signalDomácí failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remíza probability alone is 32%.

Match questions

Al Moqawloon Al Arab vs El Masry FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Výhra hostů · Projected score 1–1 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Al Moqawloon Al Arab výhra 26%,Remíza 32%,El Masry výhra 42%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.12 · Více 2.5 36% · Current selection Méně