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EGY Egipt - Divizia 1 · Round 1 ·

Al Moqawloon Al Arab vs El Masry

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gazde form
Projected score1–12.12 expected goals
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde26%
Egal32%
Victorie oaspeți42%
Full model forecastVictorie oaspețiTier A · 42% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie oaspeți42% selection probability
Projected score1–1Al Moqawloon Al ArabEl Masry
Expected goals2.12Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Sub64% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăNu59% for the selected side
Expected corners8.6Sub 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
26% / 32% / 42%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie oaspeți42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Al Moqawloon Al Arab win (25.8%)Șansă dublăX274.2%1.35
Peste 36% · Sub 64%Goals 2.5Sub64%1.56
Da 41% · Nu 59%Ambele echipe marcheazăNu59%1.69
2.12 total expected goalsScor corect1–1
8.6 expected match cornersCornereSub 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.3%Largest probability gapEl Masry winDifference+0.6 pp
OutcomePredicțieCotă corectăReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Al Moqawloon Al Arab win26%3.853.4026.2%-0.2 pp
Egal32%3.132.7532.4%-0.4 pp
El Masry win42%2.382.1541.4%+0.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Al Moqawloon Al Arab0.79

Gazde share of expected goals 37.3%

Total expected goals2.12Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Peste 36% · Sub 64%

El Masry1.33

Oaspeți share of expected goals 62.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitDa 41% · Nu 59%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

Al Moqawloon Al Arab

1.20pts / match
Jucate5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Puncte6

SignalGazde unbeaten 4/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

El Masry

2.00pts / match
Jucate5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Puncte10

SignalGazde failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
26%
Câștig probability excluding draw
42%
6
Points from supplied form
10
0.79
Expected goals
1.33
Al Moqawloon Al ArabEl Masry
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Al Moqawloon Al Arab signalGazde unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02El Masry signalGazde failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 32%.

Match questions

Al Moqawloon Al Arab vs El Masry FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie oaspeți · Projected score 1–1 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Al Moqawloon Al Arab câștig 26%,Egal 32%,El Masry câștig 42%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.12 · Peste 2.5 36% · Current selection Sub