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EGY Egypt Division 1 · Round 1 ·

Al Moqawloon Al Arab vs El Masry

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score1–12.12 expected goals
Borte form
Hjemmeseier26%
Uavgjort32%
Borteseier42%
Full model forecastBorteseierTier A · 42% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callBorteseier42% selection probability
Projected score1–1Al Moqawloon Al ArabEl Masry
Expected goals2.12Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under64% for the selected side
Begge lag scorerNei59% for the selected side
Expected corners8.6Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSannsynlighetRettferdig odds
26% / 32% / 42%KampresultatBorteseier42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Al Moqawloon Al Arab win (25.8%)Dobbel sjanseX274.2%1.35
Over 36% · Under 64%Goals 2.5Under64%1.56
Ja 41% · Nei 59%Begge lag scorerNei59%1.69
2.12 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
8.6 expected match cornersHjørnesparkUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.3%Largest probability gapEl Masry winDifference+0.6 pp
OutcomePrognoseRettferdig oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Al Moqawloon Al Arab win26%3.853.4026.2%-0.2 pp
Uavgjort32%3.132.7532.4%-0.4 pp
El Masry win42%2.382.1541.4%+0.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Al Moqawloon Al Arab0.79

Hjemme share of expected goals 37.3%

Total expected goals2.12Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 36% · Under 64%

El Masry1.33

Borte share of expected goals 62.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 41% · Nei 59%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Al Moqawloon Al Arab

1.20pts / match
Spilt5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Poeng6

SignalHjemme unbeaten 4/5

Borte-context · form sequence

El Masry

2.00pts / match
Spilt5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Poeng10

SignalHjemme failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
26%
Vunnet probability excluding draw
42%
6
Points from supplied form
10
0.79
Expected goals
1.33
Al Moqawloon Al ArabEl Masry
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Al Moqawloon Al Arab signalHjemme unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02El Masry signalHjemme failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uavgjort probability alone is 32%.

Match questions

Al Moqawloon Al Arab vs El Masry FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Borteseier · Projected score 1–1 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Al Moqawloon Al Arab vunnet 26%,Uavgjort 32%,El Masry vunnet 42%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.12 · Over 2.5 36% · Current selection Under