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EGY Égypte - Division 1 · Round 1 ·

Al Moqaouloon Al-Arab vs El Masry

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score1–12.12 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile26%
Nul32%
Victoire à l’extérieur42%
Full model forecastVictoire à l’extérieurTier A · 42% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à l’extérieur42% selection probability
Projected score1–1Al Moqaouloon Al-ArabEl Masry
Expected goals2.12Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Moins de64% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentNon59% for the selected side
Expected corners8.6Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
26% / 32% / 42%Résultat du matchVictoire à l’extérieur42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Al Moqaouloon Al-Arab win (25.8%)Double chanceX274.2%1.35
Plus de 36% · Moins de 64%Goals 2.5Moins de64%1.56
Oui 41% · Non 59%Les deux équipes marquentNon59%1.69
2.12 total expected goalsScore exact1–1
8.6 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.3%Largest probability gapEl Masry winDifference+0.6 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Al Moqaouloon Al-Arab win26%3.853.4026.2%-0.2 pp
Nul32%3.132.7532.4%-0.4 pp
El Masry win42%2.382.1541.4%+0.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Al Moqaouloon Al-Arab0.79

Domicile share of expected goals 37.3%

Total expected goals2.12Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 36% · Moins de 64%

El Masry1.33

Extérieur share of expected goals 62.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitOui 41% · Non 59%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Al Moqaouloon Al-Arab

1.20pts / match
Joués5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Points6

SignalDomicile unbeaten 4/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

El Masry

2.00pts / match
Joués5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10

SignalDomicile failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
26%
Gagné probability excluding draw
42%
6
Points from supplied form
10
0.79
Expected goals
1.33
Al Moqaouloon Al-ArabEl Masry
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Al Moqaouloon Al-Arab signalDomicile unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02El Masry signalDomicile failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 32%.

Match questions

Al Moqaouloon Al-Arab vs El Masry FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à l’extérieur · Projected score 1–1 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Al Moqaouloon Al-Arab victoire 26%,Nul 32%,El Masry victoire 42%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.12 · Plus de 2.5 36% · Current selection Moins de