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EGY Ägypten - 1. Division · Round 1 ·

Petrojet vs Talaea El Geish

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score1–11.92 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg32%
Unentschieden35%
Auswärtssieg33%
Full model forecastUnentschiedenTier A · 35% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans DRAW; raw model leaned HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callUnentschieden35% selection probability
Projected score1–1PetrojetTalaea El Geish
Expected goals1.92Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Unter70% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenNein63% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
32% / 35% / 33%SpielergebnisUnentschieden35%2.86
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Petrojet win (32.5%)Doppelte ChanceX267.5%1.48
Über 30% · Unter 70%Goals 2.5Unter70%1.43
Ja 37% · Nein 63%Beide Teams treffenNein63%1.59
1.92 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis1–1
9.3 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin9.5%Largest probability gapTalaea El Geish winDifference-0.8 pp
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Petrojet win32%3.132.9031.5%+0.5 pp
Unentschieden35%2.862.6334.7%+0.3 pp
Talaea El Geish win33%3.032.7033.8%-0.8 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Petrojet1.17

Heim share of expected goals 60.9%

Total expected goals1.92Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Über 30% · Unter 70%

Talaea El Geish0.75

Auswärts share of expected goals 39.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 37% · Nein 63%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Petrojet

1.60pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Punkte8

SignalHeim unbeaten 4/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Talaea El Geish

1.20pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Punkte6

SignalHeim matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
32%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
33%
8
Points from supplied form
6
1.17
Expected goals
0.75
PetrojetTalaea El Geish
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans DRAW; raw model leaned HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Petrojet signalHeim unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Talaea El Geish signalHeim matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk65% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 35%.

Match questions

Petrojet vs Talaea El Geish FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Unentschieden · Projected score 1–1 · 35% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Petrojet Gewinn 32%,Unentschieden 35%,Talaea El Geish Gewinn 33%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.92 · Über 2.5 30% · Current selection Unter