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POL Polen - 3. Liga · Spiel ·

Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Czarni Polaniec

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score2–23.12 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg40%
Unentschieden25%
Auswärtssieg36%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg40% selection probability
Projected score2–2Siarka TarnobrzegCzarni Polaniec
Expected goals3.12Eröffnung match profile
Goals 2.5Über60% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa63% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8Über 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
40% / 25% / 36%SpielergebnisHeimsieg40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.9%)Doppelte Chance1275.1%1.33
Über 60% · Unter 40%Goals 2.5Über60%1.67
Ja 63% · Nein 37%Beide Teams treffenJa63%1.59
3.12 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis2–2
9.8 expected match cornersEckenÜber 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.4%Largest probability gapCzarni Polaniec winDifference+0.8 pp
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Siarka Tarnobrzeg win40%2.502.2539.9%+0.1 pp
Unentschieden25%4.003.6024.9%+0.1 pp
Czarni Polaniec win36%2.782.5535.2%+0.8 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Siarka Tarnobrzeg1.52

Heim share of expected goals 48.7%

Total expected goals3.12Eröffnung

Dedicated goals model: Über 60% · Unter 40%

Czarni Polaniec1.60

Auswärts share of expected goals 51.3%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitJa 63% · Nein 37%Match profileEröffnung
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Siarka Tarnobrzeg

0.40pts / match
Gespielt5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Punkte2

SignalHeim matches over 2.5: 3/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Czarni Polaniec

0.80pts / match
Gespielt5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punkte4

SignalAuswärts matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
36%
2
Points from supplied form
4
1.52
Expected goals
1.60
Siarka TarnobrzegCzarni Polaniec
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Siarka Tarnobrzeg signalHeim matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Czarni Polaniec signalAuswärts matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Czarni Polaniec FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 2–2 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Siarka Tarnobrzeg Gewinn 40%,Unentschieden 25%,Czarni Polaniec Gewinn 36%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.12 · Über 2.5 60% · Current selection Über