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POL ポーランド IIIリーガ · 試合 ·

シアルカ・タルノブジェク vs ツァルニ・ポラニェツ

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score2–23.12 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利40%
引き分け25%
アウェイ勝利36%
Full model forecastホーム勝利Tier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利40% selection probability
Projected score2–2シアルカ・タルノブジェクツァルニ・ポラニェツ
Expected goals3.12始値 match profile
Goals 2.5オーバー60% for the selected side
両チーム得点はい63% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8オーバー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
40% / 25% / 36%試合結果ホーム勝利40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.9%)ダブルチャンス1275.1%1.33
オーバー 60% · アンダー 40%Goals 2.5オーバー60%1.67
はい 63% · いいえ 37%両チーム得点はい63%1.59
3.12 total expected goals正確なスコア2–2
9.8 expected match cornersコーナーオーバー 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.4%Largest probability gapツァルニ・ポラニェツ winDifference+0.8 pp
Outcome予想フェアオッズReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
シアルカ・タルノブジェク win40%2.502.2539.9%+0.1 pp
引き分け25%4.003.6024.9%+0.1 pp
ツァルニ・ポラニェツ win36%2.782.5535.2%+0.8 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

シアルカ・タルノブジェク1.52

ホーム share of expected goals 48.7%

Total expected goals3.12始値

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 60% · アンダー 40%

ツァルニ・ポラニェツ1.60

アウェイ share of expected goals 51.3%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitはい 63% · いいえ 37%Match profile始値
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

シアルカ・タルノブジェク

0.40pts / match
試合数5Wins0Drawn2Losses3ポイント2

Signalホーム matches over 2.5: 3/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

ツァルニ・ポラニェツ

0.80pts / match
試合数5Wins1Drawn1Losses3ポイント4

Signalアウェイ matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
勝ち probability excluding draw
36%
2
Points from supplied form
4
1.52
Expected goals
1.60
シアルカ・タルノブジェクツァルニ・ポラニェツ
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01シアルカ・タルノブジェク signalホーム matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02ツァルニ・ポラニェツ signalアウェイ matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

シアルカ・タルノブジェク vs ツァルニ・ポラニェツ FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 2–2 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

シアルカ・タルノブジェク 勝ち 40%,引き分け 25%,ツァルニ・ポラニェツ 勝ち 36%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.12 · オーバー 2.5 60% · Current selection オーバー