Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
40% / 25% / 36%Match resultHome win40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.9%)Double chance1275.1%1.33
Over 60% · Under 40%Goals 2.5Over60%1.67
Yes 63% · No 37%Both teams scoreYes63%1.59
3.12 total expected goalsCorrect score2–2——
9.8 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin11.4%Largest probability gapCzarni Polaniec winDifference+0.8 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Siarka Tarnobrzeg win40%2.502.2539.9%+0.1 pp
Draw25%4.003.6024.9%+0.1 pp
Czarni Polaniec win36%2.782.5535.2%+0.8 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 48.7%
Total expected goals3.12Open
Dedicated goals model: Over 60% · Under 40%
Away share of expected goals 51.3%
Projected score2–2BTTS splitYes 63% · No 37%Match profileOpen
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
0.40pts / matchSiarka Tarnobrzeg
DLLLD
Played5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Points2
SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5
Away-context · form sequence
0.80pts / matchCzarni Polaniec
LDLLW
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4
SignalAway matches over 2.5: 3/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
40%
Win probability excluding draw
36%2
Points from supplied form
41.52
Expected goals
1.60Siarka TarnobrzegCzarni Polaniec
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 25%.
Match questions
Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Czarni Polaniec FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–2 · 40% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Siarka Tarnobrzeg win 40%，Draw 25%，Czarni Polaniec win 36%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 3.12 · Over 2.5 60% · Current selection Over。