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POL Πολωνία - III Liga · Αγώνας ·

Σιάρκα Τάρνομπζεγκ vs Τσάρνι Πολάνιετς

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Γηπεδούχος form
Projected score2–23.12 expected goals
Φιλοξενούμενος form
Νίκη γηπεδούχου40%
Ισοπαλία25%
Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου36%
Full model forecastΝίκη γηπεδούχουTier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callΝίκη γηπεδούχου40% selection probability
Projected score2–2Σιάρκα ΤάρνομπζεγκΤσάρνι Πολάνιετς
Expected goals3.12Άνοιγμα match profile
Goals 2.5Άνω60% for the selected side
Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΝαι63% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8Άνω 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketΕπιλογήΠιθανότηταΔίκαιη απόδοση
40% / 25% / 36%Αποτέλεσμα αγώναΝίκη γηπεδούχου40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.9%)Διπλή Ευκαιρία1275.1%1.33
Άνω 60% · Κάτω 40%Goals 2.5Άνω60%1.67
Ναι 63% · Όχι 37%Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΝαι63%1.59
3.12 total expected goalsΑκριβές σκορ2–2
9.8 expected match cornersΚόρνερΆνω 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.4%Largest probability gapΤσάρνι Πολάνιετς winDifference+0.8 pp
OutcomeΠρόβλεψηΔίκαιη απόδοσηReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Σιάρκα Τάρνομπζεγκ win40%2.502.2539.9%+0.1 pp
Ισοπαλία25%4.003.6024.9%+0.1 pp
Τσάρνι Πολάνιετς win36%2.782.5535.2%+0.8 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Σιάρκα Τάρνομπζεγκ1.52

Γηπεδούχος share of expected goals 48.7%

Total expected goals3.12Άνοιγμα

Dedicated goals model: Άνω 60% · Κάτω 40%

Τσάρνι Πολάνιετς1.60

Φιλοξενούμενος share of expected goals 51.3%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitΝαι 63% · Όχι 37%Match profileΆνοιγμα
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Γηπεδούχος-context · form sequence

Σιάρκα Τάρνομπζεγκ

0.40pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Πόντοι2

SignalΓηπεδούχος matches over 2.5: 3/5

Φιλοξενούμενος-context · form sequence

Τσάρνι Πολάνιετς

0.80pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Πόντοι4

SignalΦιλοξενούμενος matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
Νίκη probability excluding draw
36%
2
Points from supplied form
4
1.52
Expected goals
1.60
Σιάρκα ΤάρνομπζεγκΤσάρνι Πολάνιετς
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Σιάρκα Τάρνομπζεγκ signalΓηπεδούχος matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Τσάρνι Πολάνιετς signalΦιλοξενούμενος matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ισοπαλία probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Σιάρκα Τάρνομπζεγκ vs Τσάρνι Πολάνιετς FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Νίκη γηπεδούχου · Projected score 2–2 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Σιάρκα Τάρνομπζεγκ νίκη 40%,Ισοπαλία 25%,Τσάρνι Πολάνιετς νίκη 36%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.12 · Άνω 2.5 60% · Current selection Άνω