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POL Польша - Лига III · Матч ·

Сярка Тарнобжег vs Чарни Поланиец

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score2–23.12 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев40%
Ничья25%
Победа гостей36%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев40% selection probability
Projected score2–2Сярка ТарнобжегЧарни Поланиец
Expected goals3.12Открытие match profile
Goals 2.5Больше60% for the selected side
Обе забьютДа63% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8Больше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
40% / 25% / 36%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.9%)Двойной шанс1275.1%1.33
Больше 60% · Меньше 40%Goals 2.5Больше60%1.67
Да 63% · Нет 37%Обе забьютДа63%1.59
3.12 total expected goalsТочный счёт2–2
9.8 expected match cornersУгловыеБольше 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.4%Largest probability gapЧарни Поланиец winDifference+0.8 pp
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Сярка Тарнобжег win40%2.502.2539.9%+0.1 pp
Ничья25%4.003.6024.9%+0.1 pp
Чарни Поланиец win36%2.782.5535.2%+0.8 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Сярка Тарнобжег1.52

Хозяева share of expected goals 48.7%

Total expected goals3.12Открытие

Dedicated goals model: Больше 60% · Меньше 40%

Чарни Поланиец1.60

Гости share of expected goals 51.3%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitДа 63% · Нет 37%Match profileОткрытие
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Сярка Тарнобжег

0.40pts / match
Сыграно5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Баллы2

SignalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Чарни Поланиец

0.80pts / match
Сыграно5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Баллы4

SignalГости matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
36%
2
Points from supplied form
4
1.52
Expected goals
1.60
Сярка ТарнобжегЧарни Поланиец
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Сярка Тарнобжег signalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Чарни Поланиец signalГости matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Сярка Тарнобжег vs Чарни Поланиец FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 2–2 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Сярка Тарнобжег выигрыш 40%,Ничья 25%,Чарни Поланиец выигрыш 36%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.12 · ТБ 2.5 60% · Current selection Больше