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POL Poland III Liga · Trận đấu ·

Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Czarni Polaniec

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Chủ nhà form
Projected score2–23.12 expected goals
Khách form
Chủ nhà thắng40%
Hòa25%
Đội khách thắng36%
Full model forecastChủ nhà thắngTier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callChủ nhà thắng40% selection probability
Projected score2–2Siarka TarnobrzegCzarni Polaniec
Expected goals3.12Mở match profile
Goals 2.5Tài60% for the selected side
Cả hai đội ghi bàn63% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8Tài 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketLựa chọnXác suấtTỷ lệ công bằng
40% / 25% / 36%Kết quả trận đấuChủ nhà thắng40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.9%)Cơ hội kép1275.1%1.33
Tài 60% · Xỉu 40%Goals 2.5Tài60%1.67
Có 63% · Không 37%Cả hai đội ghi bàn63%1.59
3.12 total expected goalsTỷ số chính xác2–2
9.8 expected match cornersPhạt gócTài 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.4%Largest probability gapCzarni Polaniec winDifference+0.8 pp
OutcomeDự đoánTỷ lệ công bằngReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Siarka Tarnobrzeg win40%2.502.2539.9%+0.1 pp
Hòa25%4.003.6024.9%+0.1 pp
Czarni Polaniec win36%2.782.5535.2%+0.8 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Siarka Tarnobrzeg1.52

Chủ nhà share of expected goals 48.7%

Total expected goals3.12Mở

Dedicated goals model: Tài 60% · Xỉu 40%

Czarni Polaniec1.60

Khách share of expected goals 51.3%

Projected score2–2BTTS split 63% · Không 37%Match profileMở
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Chủ nhà-context · form sequence

Siarka Tarnobrzeg

0.40pts / match
Số trận5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Điểm2

SignalChủ nhà matches over 2.5: 3/5

Khách-context · form sequence

Czarni Polaniec

0.80pts / match
Số trận5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Điểm4

SignalKhách matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
Thắng probability excluding draw
36%
2
Points from supplied form
4
1.52
Expected goals
1.60
Siarka TarnobrzegCzarni Polaniec
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Siarka Tarnobrzeg signalChủ nhà matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Czarni Polaniec signalKhách matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Hòa probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Czarni Polaniec FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Chủ nhà thắng · Projected score 2–2 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Siarka Tarnobrzeg thắng 40%,Hòa 25%,Czarni Polaniec thắng 36%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.12 · Tài 2.5 60% · Current selection Tài