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DEU Deutschland - 3. Liga · Round 1 ·

FC Saarbrücken vs Rot-Weiss Essen

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score2–23.23 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg32%
Unentschieden25%
Auswärtssieg42%
Full model forecastAuswärtssiegTier A · 42% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAuswärtssieg42% selection probability
Projected score2–2FC SaarbrückenRot-Weiss Essen
Expected goals3.23Eröffnung match profile
Goals 2.5Über63% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa64% for the selected side
Expected corners11.9Über 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
32% / 25% / 42%SpielergebnisAuswärtssieg42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.4%)Doppelte Chance1274.6%1.34
Über 63% · Unter 37%Goals 2.5Über63%1.59
Ja 64% · Nein 36%Beide Teams treffenJa64%1.56
3.23 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis2–2
11.9 expected match cornersEckenÜber 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.9%Largest probability gapRot-Weiss Essen winDifference-0.6 pp
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FC Saarbrücken win32%3.132.8031.9%+0.1 pp
Unentschieden25%4.003.5025.5%-0.5 pp
Rot-Weiss Essen win42%2.382.1042.6%-0.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FC Saarbrücken1.53

Heim share of expected goals 47.4%

Total expected goals3.23Eröffnung

Dedicated goals model: Über 63% · Unter 37%

Rot-Weiss Essen1.70

Auswärts share of expected goals 52.6%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitJa 64% · Nein 36%Match profileEröffnung
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

FC Saarbrücken

1.40pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punkte7

SignalHeim matches over 2.5: 3/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Rot-Weiss Essen

1.80pts / match
Gespielt5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punkte9

SignalAuswärts won 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
32%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
42%
7
Points from supplied form
9
1.53
Expected goals
1.70
FC SaarbrückenRot-Weiss Essen
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FC Saarbrücken signalHeim matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Rot-Weiss Essen signalAuswärts won 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

FC Saarbrücken vs Rot-Weiss Essen FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Auswärtssieg · Projected score 2–2 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FC Saarbrücken Gewinn 32%,Unentschieden 25%,Rot-Weiss Essen Gewinn 42%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.23 · Über 2.5 63% · Current selection Über