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DEU Alemanha - 3.Liga · Round 1 ·

Saarbrucken vs Rot-Weiss Essen

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Mandante form
Projected score2–23.23 expected goals
Visitante form
Vitória da casa32%
Empate25%
Vitória visitante42%
Full model forecastVitória visitanteTier A · 42% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVitória visitante42% selection probability
Projected score2–2SaarbruckenRot-Weiss Essen
Expected goals3.23Abrir match profile
Goals 2.5Acima63% for the selected side
Ambas as equipes marcamSim64% for the selected side
Expected corners11.9Acima 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeleçãoProbabilidadeOdds justas
32% / 25% / 42%Resultado da partidaVitória visitante42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.4%)Dupla Chance1274.6%1.34
Acima 63% · Abaixo 37%Goals 2.5Acima63%1.59
Sim 64% · Não 36%Ambas as equipes marcamSim64%1.56
3.23 total expected goalsPlacar exato2–2
11.9 expected match cornersEscanteiosAcima 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.9%Largest probability gapRot-Weiss Essen winDifference-0.6 pp
OutcomePrevisãoOdds justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Saarbrucken win32%3.132.8031.9%+0.1 pp
Empate25%4.003.5025.5%-0.5 pp
Rot-Weiss Essen win42%2.382.1042.6%-0.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Saarbrucken1.53

Mandante share of expected goals 47.4%

Total expected goals3.23Abrir

Dedicated goals model: Acima 63% · Abaixo 37%

Rot-Weiss Essen1.70

Visitante share of expected goals 52.6%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitSim 64% · Não 36%Match profileAbrir
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Mandante-context · form sequence

Saarbrucken

1.40pts / match
Jogos5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Pontos7

SignalMandante matches over 2.5: 3/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Rot-Weiss Essen

1.80pts / match
Jogos5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Pontos9

SignalVisitante won 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
32%
Ganhou probability excluding draw
42%
7
Points from supplied form
9
1.53
Expected goals
1.70
SaarbruckenRot-Weiss Essen
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Saarbrucken signalMandante matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Rot-Weiss Essen signalVisitante won 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Saarbrucken vs Rot-Weiss Essen FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vitória visitante · Projected score 2–2 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Saarbrucken ganhou 32%,Empate 25%,Rot-Weiss Essen ganhou 42%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.23 · Acima 2.5 63% · Current selection Acima