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DEU Niemcy - 3. Liga · Round 1 ·

Saarbrucken vs Rot-Weiss Essen

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gospodarze form
Projected score2–23.23 expected goals
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy32%
Remis25%
Wygrana gości42%
Full model forecastWygrana gościTier A · 42% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gości42% selection probability
Projected score2–2SaarbruckenRot-Weiss Essen
Expected goals3.23Otwarcie match profile
Goals 2.5Powyżej63% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląTak64% for the selected side
Expected corners11.9Powyżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
32% / 25% / 42%Wynik meczuWygrana gości42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.4%)Podwójna szansa1274.6%1.34
Powyżej 63% · Poniżej 37%Goals 2.5Powyżej63%1.59
Tak 64% · Nie 36%Obie drużyny strzeląTak64%1.56
3.23 total expected goalsDokładny wynik2–2
11.9 expected match cornersRożnePowyżej 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.9%Largest probability gapRot-Weiss Essen winDifference-0.6 pp
OutcomePrognozaUczciwy kursReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Saarbrucken win32%3.132.8031.9%+0.1 pp
Remis25%4.003.5025.5%-0.5 pp
Rot-Weiss Essen win42%2.382.1042.6%-0.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Saarbrucken1.53

Gospodarze share of expected goals 47.4%

Total expected goals3.23Otwarcie

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 63% · Poniżej 37%

Rot-Weiss Essen1.70

Goście share of expected goals 52.6%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitTak 64% · Nie 36%Match profileOtwarcie
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

Saarbrucken

1.40pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punkty7

SignalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 3/5

Goście-context · form sequence

Rot-Weiss Essen

1.80pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punkty9

SignalGoście won 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
32%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
42%
7
Points from supplied form
9
1.53
Expected goals
1.70
SaarbruckenRot-Weiss Essen
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Saarbrucken signalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Rot-Weiss Essen signalGoście won 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Saarbrucken vs Rot-Weiss Essen FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gości · Projected score 2–2 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Saarbrucken wygrana 32%,Remis 25%,Rot-Weiss Essen wygrana 42%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.23 · Powyżej 2.5 63% · Current selection Powyżej