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DEU Nemecko - 3. Liga · Round 1 ·

Saarbrucken vs Rot-Weiss Essen

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domáci form
Projected score2–23.23 expected goals
Hostia form
Výhra domácich32%
Remíza25%
Výhra hostí42%
Full model forecastVýhra hostíTier A · 42% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVýhra hostí42% selection probability
Projected score2–2SaarbruckenRot-Weiss Essen
Expected goals3.23Otvoriť match profile
Goals 2.5Viac63% for the selected side
Oba tímy skórujúÁno64% for the selected side
Expected corners11.9Viac 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVýberPravdepodobnosťFérový kurz
32% / 25% / 42%Výsledok zápasuVýhra hostí42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.4%)Dvojitá šanca1274.6%1.34
Viac 63% · Menej 37%Goals 2.5Viac63%1.59
Áno 64% · Nie 36%Oba tímy skórujúÁno64%1.56
3.23 total expected goalsPresné skóre2–2
11.9 expected match cornersRohyViac 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.9%Largest probability gapRot-Weiss Essen winDifference-0.6 pp
OutcomePredpoveďFérový kurzReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Saarbrucken win32%3.132.8031.9%+0.1 pp
Remíza25%4.003.5025.5%-0.5 pp
Rot-Weiss Essen win42%2.382.1042.6%-0.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Saarbrucken1.53

Domáci share of expected goals 47.4%

Total expected goals3.23Otvoriť

Dedicated goals model: Viac 63% · Menej 37%

Rot-Weiss Essen1.70

Hostia share of expected goals 52.6%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitÁno 64% · Nie 36%Match profileOtvoriť
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domáci-context · form sequence

Saarbrucken

1.40pts / match
Odohrané5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Body7

SignalDomáci matches over 2.5: 3/5

Hostia-context · form sequence

Rot-Weiss Essen

1.80pts / match
Odohrané5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Body9

SignalHostia won 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
32%
Výhra probability excluding draw
42%
7
Points from supplied form
9
1.53
Expected goals
1.70
SaarbruckenRot-Weiss Essen
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Saarbrucken signalDomáci matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Rot-Weiss Essen signalHostia won 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remíza probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Saarbrucken vs Rot-Weiss Essen FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Výhra hostí · Projected score 2–2 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Saarbrucken výhra 32%,Remíza 25%,Rot-Weiss Essen výhra 42%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.23 · Viac 2.5 63% · Current selection Viac