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DEU Németország - 3.Liga · Round 1 ·

Saarbrucken vs Rot-Weiss Essen

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hazai form
Projected score2–23.23 expected goals
Vendég form
Hazai győzelem32%
Döntetlen25%
Vendég győzelem42%
Full model forecastVendég győzelemTier A · 42% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVendég győzelem42% selection probability
Projected score2–2SaarbruckenRot-Weiss Essen
Expected goals3.23Nyitó match profile
Goals 2.5Felett63% for the selected side
Mindkét csapat szerez góltIgen64% for the selected side
Expected corners11.9Felett 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVálasztásValószínűségValós odds
32% / 25% / 42%Mérkőzés eredményeVendég győzelem42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.4%)Dupla esély1274.6%1.34
Felett 63% · Alatt 37%Goals 2.5Felett63%1.59
Igen 64% · Nem 36%Mindkét csapat szerez góltIgen64%1.56
3.23 total expected goalsPontos eredmény2–2
11.9 expected match cornersSzögletekFelett 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.9%Largest probability gapRot-Weiss Essen winDifference-0.6 pp
OutcomeElőrejelzésValós oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Saarbrucken win32%3.132.8031.9%+0.1 pp
Döntetlen25%4.003.5025.5%-0.5 pp
Rot-Weiss Essen win42%2.382.1042.6%-0.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Saarbrucken1.53

Hazai share of expected goals 47.4%

Total expected goals3.23Nyitó

Dedicated goals model: Felett 63% · Alatt 37%

Rot-Weiss Essen1.70

Vendég share of expected goals 52.6%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitIgen 64% · Nem 36%Match profileNyitó
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hazai-context · form sequence

Saarbrucken

1.40pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Pontok7

SignalHazai matches over 2.5: 3/5

Vendég-context · form sequence

Rot-Weiss Essen

1.80pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Pontok9

SignalVendég won 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
32%
Nyert probability excluding draw
42%
7
Points from supplied form
9
1.53
Expected goals
1.70
SaarbruckenRot-Weiss Essen
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Saarbrucken signalHazai matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Rot-Weiss Essen signalVendég won 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Döntetlen probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Saarbrucken vs Rot-Weiss Essen FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vendég győzelem · Projected score 2–2 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Saarbrucken nyer 32%,Döntetlen 25%,Rot-Weiss Essen nyer 42%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.23 · 2.5 felett 63% · Current selection Felett