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ENG Англия - Национална Лига - Север · Мач ·

Чорли vs Честър

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score1–12.51 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина37%
Равен27%
Победа за госта36%
Full model forecastПобеда за домакинаTier A · 37% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за домакина37% selection probability
Projected score1–1ЧорлиЧестър
Expected goals2.51Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Под54% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатДа51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Под 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
37% / 27% / 36%Резултат от мачаПобеда за домакина37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.8%)Двоен шанс1273.2%1.37
Над 46% · Под 54%Goals 2.5Под54%1.85
Да 51% · Не 49%И двата отбора да отбележатДа51%1.96
2.51 total expected goalsТочен резултат1–1
9.4 expected match cornersКорнериПод 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.2%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.3 pp
OutcomeПрогнозаСправедлив коефициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Чорли win37%2.702.4537%0.0 pp
Равен27%3.703.4026.7%+0.3 pp
Честър win36%2.782.5036.3%-0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Чорли1.32

Домакин share of expected goals 52.6%

Total expected goals2.51Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Над 46% · Под 54%

Честър1.19

Гост share of expected goals 47.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 51% · Не 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Чорли

1.40pts / match
Изиграни5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Точки7

SignalДомакин won 2/3 recent home matches

Гост-context · form sequence

Честър

2.00pts / match
Изиграни5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Точки10

SignalГост unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
37%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
36%
7
Points from supplied form
10
1.32
Expected goals
1.19
ЧорлиЧестър
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Чорли signalДомакин won 2/3 recent home matches

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Честър signalГост unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Чорли vs Честър FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за домакина · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Чорли печеливш 37%,Равен 27%,Честър печеливш 36%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.51 · Над 2.5 46% · Current selection Под