Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
37% / 27% / 36%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.8%)Dubbele Kans1273.2%1.37
Boven 46% · Onder 54%Goals 2.5Onder54%1.85
Ja 51% · Nee 49%Beide teams scorenJa51%1.96
2.51 total expected goalsExacte score1–1——
9.4 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin10.2%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.3 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Chorley win37%2.702.4537%0.0 pp
Gelijkspel27%3.703.4026.7%+0.3 pp
Chester win36%2.782.5036.3%-0.3 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Thuis share of expected goals 52.6%
Total expected goals2.51Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Boven 46% · Onder 54%
Uit share of expected goals 47.4%
Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 51% · Nee 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Thuis-context · form sequence
1.40pts / matchChorley
WDLLW
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punten7
SignalThuis won 2/3 recent home matches
Uit-context · form sequence
2.00pts / matchChester
LDWWW
Gespeeld5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punten10
SignalUit unbeaten 4/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
37%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
36%7
Points from supplied form
101.32
Expected goals
1.19ChorleyChester
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 27%.
Match questions
Chorley vs Chester FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Chorley gewonnen 37%，Gelijkspel 27%，Chester gewonnen 36%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.51 · Boven 2.5 46% · Current selection Onder。