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ENG Inghilterra - National League Nord · Partita ·

Chorley vs Chester

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score1–12.51 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa37%
Pareggio27%
Vittoria ospite36%
Full model forecastVittoria casaTier A · 37% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa37% selection probability
Projected score1–1ChorleyChester
Expected goals2.51Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Sotto54% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnano51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Sotto 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
37% / 27% / 36%Esito partitaVittoria casa37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.8%)Doppia Chance1273.2%1.37
Sopra 46% · Sotto 54%Goals 2.5Sotto54%1.85
Sì 51% · No 49%Entrambe le squadre segnano51%1.96
2.51 total expected goalsRisultato esatto1–1
9.4 expected match cornersCornerSotto 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.2%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.3 pp
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Chorley win37%2.702.4537%0.0 pp
Pareggio27%3.703.4026.7%+0.3 pp
Chester win36%2.782.5036.3%-0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Chorley1.32

Casa share of expected goals 52.6%

Total expected goals2.51Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 46% · Sotto 54%

Chester1.19

Trasferta share of expected goals 47.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 51% · No 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Chorley

1.40pts / match
Giocate5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punti7

SignalCasa won 2/3 recent home matches

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Chester

2.00pts / match
Giocate5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punti10

SignalTrasferta unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
37%
Vinta probability excluding draw
36%
7
Points from supplied form
10
1.32
Expected goals
1.19
ChorleyChester
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Chorley signalCasa won 2/3 recent home matches

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Chester signalTrasferta unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Chorley vs Chester FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Chorley vinta 37%,Pareggio 27%,Chester vinta 36%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.51 · Sopra 2.5 46% · Current selection Sotto