Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
37% / 27% / 36%Match resultHome win37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.8%)Double chance1273.2%1.37
Over 46% · Under 54%Goals 2.5Under54%1.85
Yes 51% · No 49%Both teams scoreYes51%1.96
2.51 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1——
9.4 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin10.2%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.3 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Chorley win37%2.702.4537%0.0 pp
Draw27%3.703.4026.7%+0.3 pp
Chester win36%2.782.5036.3%-0.3 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 52.6%
Total expected goals2.51Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Over 46% · Under 54%
Away share of expected goals 47.4%
Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 51% · No 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
1.40pts / matchChorley
WDLLW
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7
SignalHome won 2/3 recent home matches
Away-context · form sequence
2.00pts / matchChester
LDWWW
Played5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10
SignalAway unbeaten 4/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
37%
Win probability excluding draw
36%7
Points from supplied form
101.32
Expected goals
1.19ChorleyChester
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 27%.
Match questions
Chorley vs Chester FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Chorley win 37%，Draw 27%，Chester win 36%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.51 · Over 2.5 46% · Current selection Under。