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ENG Inglaterra - National League North · Partido ·

Chorley vs Chester

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score1–12.51 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local37%
Empate29%
Victoria visitante33%
Full model forecastVictoria localTier A · 37% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local37% selection probability
Projected score1–1ChorleyChester
Expected goals2.51Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Menos de54% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcan51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Menos de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
37% / 29% / 33%Resultado del partidoVictoria local37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.4%)Doble Oportunidad1270.6%1.42
Más de 46% · Menos de 54%Goals 2.5Menos de54%1.85
Sí 51% · No 49%Ambos equipos marcan51%1.96
2.51 total expected goalsMarcador exacto1–1
9.4 expected match cornersCórnersMenos de 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCuotas justas
Chorley win37%2.70
Empate29%3.45
Chester win33%3.03

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Chorley1.32

Local share of expected goals 52.6%

Total expected goals2.51Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Más de 46% · Menos de 54%

Chester1.19

Visitante share of expected goals 47.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 51% · No 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Chorley

1.40pts / match
Jugados5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Puntos7

SignalLocal won 2/3 recent home matches

Visitante-context · form sequence

Chester

2.00pts / match
Jugados5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Puntos10

SignalVisitante unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
37%
Ganado probability excluding draw
33%
7
Points from supplied form
10
1.32
Expected goals
1.19
ChorleyChester
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Chorley signalLocal won 2/3 recent home matches

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Chester signalVisitante unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Chorley vs Chester FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Chorley ganada 37%,Empate 29%,Chester ganada 33%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.51 · Más de 2.5 46% · Current selection Menos de