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ENG Англия - Национална Лига - Север · Мач ·

Бъкстън vs Херефорд

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score2–13.35 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина48%
Равен25%
Победа за госта27%
Full model forecastПобеда за домакинаTier A · 48% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за домакина48% selection probability
Projected score2–1БъкстънХерефорд
Expected goals3.35Откриване match profile
Goals 2.5Над65% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатДа61% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8Над 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
48% / 25% / 27%Резултат от мачаПобеда за домакина48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.6%)Двоен шанс1275.4%1.33
Над 65% · Под 35%Goals 2.5Над65%1.54
Да 61% · Не 39%И двата отбора да отбележатДа61%1.64
3.35 total expected goalsТочен резултат2–1
9.8 expected match cornersКорнериНад 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.4%Largest probability gapХерефорд winDifference-1.1 pp
OutcomeПрогнозаСправедлив коефициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Бъкстън win48%2.081.9147%+1.0 pp
Равен25%4.003.6024.9%+0.1 pp
Херефорд win27%3.703.2028.1%-1.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Бъкстън2.22

Домакин share of expected goals 66.3%

Total expected goals3.35Откриване

Dedicated goals model: Над 65% · Под 35%

Херефорд1.13

Гост share of expected goals 33.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 61% · Не 39%Match profileОткриване
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Бъкстън

2.00pts / match
Изиграни5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Точки10

SignalДомакин unbeaten 4/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Херефорд

1.60pts / match
Изиграни5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Точки8

SignalДомакин matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
48%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
27%
10
Points from supplied form
8
2.22
Expected goals
1.13
БъкстънХерефорд
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Бъкстън signalДомакин unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Херефорд signalДомакин matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk52% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Бъкстън vs Херефорд FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за домакина · Projected score 2–1 · 48% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Бъкстън печеливш 48%,Равен 25%,Херефорд печеливш 27%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.35 · Над 2.5 65% · Current selection Над