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ARG 阿根廷職業聯賽 · Final ·

沙士菲 vs 防衛者

Prediction review

主隊 form
Final score1–1預測 2–1
客隊 form
主勝53%
29%
客勝19%
Full model forecast主勝Tier A · 53% selection probability
Prediction 未命中
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary call主勝53% selection probability
Projected score2–1沙士菲防衛者
Expected goals2.51Balanced match profile
Goals 2.554% for the selected side
雙方進球57% for the selected side
Expected corners8.4小 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market投注機率公平賠率
53% / 29% / 19%比賽結果主勝53%1.89
Derived from 1X2 · excludes 防衛者 win (18.6%)雙重機會1X81.4%1.23
大 46% · 小 54%Goals 2.554%1.85
是 43% · 否 57%雙方進球57%1.75
2.51 total expected goals正確比分2–1
8.4 expected match corners角球小 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin4.8%Largest probability gap沙士菲 winDifference+1.4 pp
Outcome預測公平賠率Reference oddsNormalized marketDifference
沙士菲 win53%1.891.8551.6%+1.4 pp
29%3.453.2529.4%-0.4 pp
防衛者 win19%5.265.0019.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

沙士菲1.80

主隊 share of expected goals 71.7%

Total expected goals2.51Balanced

Dedicated goals model: 46% · 54%

防衛者0.71

客隊 share of expected goals 28.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 43% · 57%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

主隊-context · form sequence

沙士菲

2.00pts / match
5Wins3Drawn1Losses1積分10

Signal主隊 unbeaten 4/5

客隊-context · form sequence

防衛者

1.40pts / match
5Wins2Drawn1Losses2積分7

Signal主隊 matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
53%
贏 probability excluding draw
19%
10
Points from supplied form
7
1.80
Expected goals
0.71
沙士菲防衛者
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01沙士菲 signal主隊 unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02防衛者 signal主隊 matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk47% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 平 probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

沙士菲 vs 防衛者 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: 主勝 · Projected score 2–1 · 53% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

沙士菲 53%, 29%,防衛者 19%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.51 · 大2.5 46% · Current selection