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ARG Argentina Liga Profesional · Final ·

Велес Сарсфилд vs Дефенса и Хустисия

Prediction review

Хозяева form
Final score1–1Прогноз 2–1
Гости form
Победа хозяев53%
Ничья29%
Победа гостей19%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 53% selection probability
Prediction Не угадано
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев53% selection probability
Projected score2–1Велес СарсфилдДефенса и Хустисия
Expected goals2.51Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Меньше54% for the selected side
Обе забьютНет57% for the selected side
Expected corners8.4Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
53% / 29% / 19%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев53%1.89
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Дефенса и Хустисия win (18.6%)Двойной шанс1X81.4%1.23
Больше 46% · Меньше 54%Goals 2.5Меньше54%1.85
Да 43% · Нет 57%Обе забьютНет57%1.75
2.51 total expected goalsТочный счёт2–1
8.4 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin4.8%Largest probability gapВелес Сарсфилд winDifference+1.4 pp
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Велес Сарсфилд win53%1.891.8551.6%+1.4 pp
Ничья29%3.453.2529.4%-0.4 pp
Дефенса и Хустисия win19%5.265.0019.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Велес Сарсфилд1.80

Хозяева share of expected goals 71.7%

Total expected goals2.51Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Больше 46% · Меньше 54%

Дефенса и Хустисия0.71

Гости share of expected goals 28.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 43% · Нет 57%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Велес Сарсфилд

2.00pts / match
Сыграно5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Баллы10

SignalХозяева unbeaten 4/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Дефенса и Хустисия

1.40pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Баллы7

SignalХозяева matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
53%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
19%
10
Points from supplied form
7
1.80
Expected goals
0.71
Велес СарсфилдДефенса и Хустисия
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Велес Сарсфилд signalХозяева unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Дефенса и Хустисия signalХозяева matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk47% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Велес Сарсфилд vs Дефенса и Хустисия FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 2–1 · 53% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Велес Сарсфилд выигрыш 53%,Ничья 29%,Дефенса и Хустисия выигрыш 19%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.51 · ТБ 2.5 46% · Current selection Меньше