Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
53% / 29% / 19%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst53%1.89
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Defensa y Justicia win (18.6%)Dubbele Kans1X81.4%1.23
Boven 46% · Onder 54%Goals 2.5Onder54%1.85
Ja 43% · Nee 57%Beide teams scorenNee57%1.75
2.51 total expected goalsExacte score2–1——
8.4 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin4.8%Largest probability gapVelez Sarsfield winDifference+1.4 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Velez Sarsfield win53%1.891.8551.6%+1.4 pp
Gelijkspel29%3.453.2529.4%-0.4 pp
Defensa y Justicia win19%5.265.0019.1%-0.1 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Thuis share of expected goals 71.7%
Total expected goals2.51Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Boven 46% · Onder 54%
Uit share of expected goals 28.3%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 43% · Nee 57%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Thuis-context · form sequence
2.00pts / matchVelez Sarsfield
DWWWL
Gespeeld5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punten10
SignalThuis unbeaten 4/5
Uit-context · form sequence
1.40pts / matchDefensa y Justicia
WLWDL
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punten7
SignalThuis matches under 2.5: 4/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
53%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
19%10
Points from supplied form
71.80
Expected goals
0.71Velez SarsfieldDefensa y Justicia
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 29%.
Match questions
Velez Sarsfield vs Defensa y Justicia FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–1 · 53% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Velez Sarsfield gewonnen 53%，Gelijkspel 29%，Defensa y Justicia gewonnen 19%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.51 · Boven 2.5 46% · Current selection Onder。