Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
53% / 29% / 19%Resultado del partidoVictoria local53%1.89
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Defensa y Justicia win (18.6%)Doble Oportunidad1X81.4%1.23
Más de 46% · Menos de 54%Goals 2.5Menos de54%1.85
Sí 43% · No 57%Ambos equipos marcanNo57%1.75
2.51 total expected goalsMarcador exacto2–1——
8.4 expected match cornersCórnersMenos de 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin4.8%Largest probability gapVélez Sársfield winDifference+1.4 pp
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Vélez Sársfield win53%1.891.8551.6%+1.4 pp
Empate29%3.453.2529.4%-0.4 pp
Defensa y Justicia win19%5.265.0019.1%-0.1 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Local share of expected goals 71.7%
Total expected goals2.51Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Más de 46% · Menos de 54%
Visitante share of expected goals 28.3%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitSí 43% · No 57%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Local-context · form sequence
2.00pts / matchVélez Sársfield
DWWWL
Jugados5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Puntos10
SignalLocal unbeaten 4/5
Visitante-context · form sequence
1.40pts / matchDefensa y Justicia
WLWDL
Jugados5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Puntos7
SignalLocal matches under 2.5: 4/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
53%
Ganado probability excluding draw
19%10
Points from supplied form
71.80
Expected goals
0.71Vélez SársfieldDefensa y Justicia
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 29%.
Match questions
Vélez Sársfield vs Defensa y Justicia FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 2–1 · 53% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Vélez Sársfield ganada 53%，Empate 29%，Defensa y Justicia ganada 19%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.51 · Más de 2.5 46% · Current selection Menos de。