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ARG 阿根廷職業聯賽 · Final ·

拉魯斯 vs 獨立

Prediction review

主隊 form
Final score1–3預測 1–1
客隊 form
主勝47%
32%
客勝21%
Full model forecast主勝Tier A · 47% selection probability
Prediction 未命中
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary call主勝47% selection probability
Projected score1–1拉魯斯獨立
Expected goals2.10Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.565% for the selected side
雙方進球58% for the selected side
Expected corners8.7小 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market投注機率公平賠率
47% / 32% / 21%比賽結果主勝47%2.13
Derived from 1X2 · excludes 獨立 win (21.4%)雙重機會1X78.6%1.27
大 35% · 小 65%Goals 2.565%1.54
是 42% · 否 58%雙方進球58%1.72
2.10 total expected goals正確比分1–1
8.7 expected match corners角球小 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin5.6%Largest probability gap拉魯斯 winDifference-0.4 pp
Outcome預測公平賠率Reference oddsNormalized marketDifference
拉魯斯 win47%2.132.0047.4%-0.4 pp
32%3.133.0031.6%+0.4 pp
獨立 win21%4.764.5021.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

拉魯斯1.22

主隊 share of expected goals 58.1%

Total expected goals2.10Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: 35% · 65%

獨立0.88

客隊 share of expected goals 41.9%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 42% · 58%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

主隊-context · form sequence

拉魯斯

1.40pts / match
5Wins2Drawn1Losses2積分7

Signal主隊 matches over 2.5: 3/5

客隊-context · form sequence

獨立

1.20pts / match
5Wins2Drawn0Losses3積分6

Signal主隊 clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
47%
贏 probability excluding draw
21%
7
Points from supplied form
6
1.22
Expected goals
0.88
拉魯斯獨立
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01拉魯斯 signal主隊 matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02獨立 signal主隊 clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk53% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 平 probability alone is 32%.

Match questions

拉魯斯 vs 獨立 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: 主勝 · Projected score 1–1 · 47% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

拉魯斯 47%, 32%,獨立 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.10 · 大2.5 35% · Current selection