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ARG Argentina Liga Profesional · Final ·

Lanus vs Independiente

Prediction review

Gospodarze form
Final score1–3Prognoza 1–1
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy47%
Remis32%
Wygrana gości21%
Full model forecastWygrana gospodarzyTier A · 47% selection probability
Prediction Nietrafiony
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gospodarzy47% selection probability
Projected score1–1LanusIndependiente
Expected goals2.10Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Poniżej65% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląNie58% for the selected side
Expected corners8.7Poniżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
47% / 32% / 21%Wynik meczuWygrana gospodarzy47%2.13
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Independiente win (21.4%)Podwójna szansa1X78.6%1.27
Powyżej 35% · Poniżej 65%Goals 2.5Poniżej65%1.54
Tak 42% · Nie 58%Obie drużyny strzeląNie58%1.72
2.10 total expected goalsDokładny wynik1–1
8.7 expected match cornersRożnePoniżej 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin5.6%Largest probability gapLanus winDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomePrognozaUczciwy kursReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Lanus win47%2.132.0047.4%-0.4 pp
Remis32%3.133.0031.6%+0.4 pp
Independiente win21%4.764.5021.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Lanus1.22

Gospodarze share of expected goals 58.1%

Total expected goals2.10Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 35% · Poniżej 65%

Independiente0.88

Goście share of expected goals 41.9%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitTak 42% · Nie 58%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

Lanus

1.40pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punkty7

SignalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 3/5

Goście-context · form sequence

Independiente

1.20pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Punkty6

SignalGospodarze clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
47%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
21%
7
Points from supplied form
6
1.22
Expected goals
0.88
LanusIndependiente
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Lanus signalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Independiente signalGospodarze clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk53% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 32%.

Match questions

Lanus vs Independiente FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gospodarzy · Projected score 1–1 · 47% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Lanus wygrana 47%,Remis 32%,Independiente wygrana 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.10 · Powyżej 2.5 35% · Current selection Poniżej