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ARG Argentina Liga Profesional · Final ·

Lanus vs Independiente

Prediction review

Domicile form
Final score1–3Pronostic 1–1
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile47%
Nul32%
Victoire à l’extérieur21%
Full model forecastVictoire à domicileTier A · 47% selection probability
Prediction Perdu
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile47% selection probability
Projected score1–1LanusIndependiente
Expected goals2.10Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Moins de65% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentNon58% for the selected side
Expected corners8.7Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
47% / 32% / 21%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile47%2.13
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Independiente win (21.4%)Double chance1X78.6%1.27
Plus de 35% · Moins de 65%Goals 2.5Moins de65%1.54
Oui 42% · Non 58%Les deux équipes marquentNon58%1.72
2.10 total expected goalsScore exact1–1
8.7 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin5.6%Largest probability gapLanus winDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Lanus win47%2.132.0047.4%-0.4 pp
Nul32%3.133.0031.6%+0.4 pp
Independiente win21%4.764.5021.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Lanus1.22

Domicile share of expected goals 58.1%

Total expected goals2.10Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 35% · Moins de 65%

Independiente0.88

Extérieur share of expected goals 41.9%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitOui 42% · Non 58%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Lanus

1.40pts / match
Joués5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Independiente

1.20pts / match
Joués5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Points6

SignalDomicile clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
47%
Gagné probability excluding draw
21%
7
Points from supplied form
6
1.22
Expected goals
0.88
LanusIndependiente
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Lanus signalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Independiente signalDomicile clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk53% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 32%.

Match questions

Lanus vs Independiente FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 1–1 · 47% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Lanus victoire 47%,Nul 32%,Independiente victoire 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.10 · Plus de 2.5 35% · Current selection Moins de