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基特寧 vs 阿爾夫徹奇

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

主隊 form
Projected score2–12.52 expected goals
客隊 form
主勝43%
29%
客勝28%
Full model forecast主勝Tier A · 43% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary call主勝43% selection probability
Projected score2–1基特寧阿爾夫徹奇
Expected goals2.52Balanced match profile
Goals 2.554% for the selected side
雙方進球50% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2小 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market投注機率公平賠率
43% / 29% / 28%比賽結果主勝43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes 阿爾夫徹奇 win (27.6%)雙重機會1X72.4%1.38
大 46% · 小 54%Goals 2.554%1.85
是 50% · 否 50%雙方進球50%2.00
2.52 total expected goals正確比分2–1
9.2 expected match corners角球小 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

否 snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probability公平賠率
基特寧 win43%2.33
29%3.45
阿爾夫徹奇 win28%3.57

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

基特寧1.51

主隊 share of expected goals 59.9%

Total expected goals2.52Balanced

Dedicated goals model: 46% · 54%

阿爾夫徹奇1.01

客隊 share of expected goals 40.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 50% · 50%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

主隊-context · form sequence

基特寧

1.60pts / match
5Wins2Drawn2Losses1積分8

Signal主隊 unbeaten 4/5

客隊-context · form sequence

阿爾夫徹奇

1.00pts / match
5Wins1Drawn2Losses2積分5

Signal主隊 matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
43%
贏 probability excluding draw
28%
8
Points from supplied form
5
1.51
Expected goals
1.01
基特寧阿爾夫徹奇
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01基特寧 signal主隊 unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02阿爾夫徹奇 signal主隊 matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 平 probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

基特寧 vs 阿爾夫徹奇 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: 主勝 · Projected score 2–1 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

基特寧 43%, 29%,阿爾夫徹奇 28%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.52 · 大2.5 46% · Current selection