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ケタリング vs アルヴチャーチ

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score2–12.52 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利43%
引き分け29%
アウェイ勝利28%
Full model forecastホーム勝利Tier A · 43% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利43% selection probability
Projected score2–1ケタリングアルヴチャーチ
Expected goals2.52Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5アンダー54% for the selected side
両チーム得点いいえ50% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2アンダー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
43% / 29% / 28%試合結果ホーム勝利43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes アルヴチャーチ win (27.6%)ダブルチャンス1X72.4%1.38
オーバー 46% · アンダー 54%Goals 2.5アンダー54%1.85
はい 50% · いいえ 50%両チーム得点いいえ50%2.00
2.52 total expected goals正確なスコア2–1
9.2 expected match cornersコーナーアンダー 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

いいえ snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityフェアオッズ
ケタリング win43%2.33
引き分け29%3.45
アルヴチャーチ win28%3.57

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

ケタリング1.51

ホーム share of expected goals 59.9%

Total expected goals2.52Balanced

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 46% · アンダー 54%

アルヴチャーチ1.01

アウェイ share of expected goals 40.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitはい 50% · いいえ 50%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

ケタリング

1.60pts / match
試合数5Wins2Drawn2Losses1ポイント8

Signalホーム unbeaten 4/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

アルヴチャーチ

1.00pts / match
試合数5Wins1Drawn2Losses2ポイント5

Signalホーム matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
43%
勝ち probability excluding draw
28%
8
Points from supplied form
5
1.51
Expected goals
1.01
ケタリングアルヴチャーチ
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01ケタリング signalホーム unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02アルヴチャーチ signalホーム matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

ケタリング vs アルヴチャーチ FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 2–1 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

ケタリング 勝ち 43%,引き分け 29%,アルヴチャーチ 勝ち 28%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.52 · オーバー 2.5 46% · Current selection アンダー